2009 年 1 月 11 日 星期日 【晴】

Depreciation of USD

After revising the financial market for several months, I find many questions on it,
especially for pricing of all investment tools. I doubt their prices are dependent of their far value,
net present value or something other. By technical analyst,
the United States should be bankrupt
as its national debt is far over its payment ability.
As per James Rogers said US dollars will be depreciated by at least 90 %
and US is going to recession for a long time.
While the value of US dollar has a stronger rebound relative to other currencies.
Might it show James Rogers’ forecast is wrong
or might it show investors have even less confident on other currencies than US dollar instead?

All of us know that financial tsunami spreads from financial insinuations,
banks to all industries.
Banks re no longer willing to lend money to property market Sub-Prime market initially,
now on, even commercial and private market can’t get any lending,
thus the lending market is dead.
In addition, the value of securities related to Sub-Prime which are mainly held by
banks drop significantly, They makes banks’ asset to liability no longer to meet basic requirement,
banks will be bankrupt as a result.
For more serious case, international enterprises will collapse as no cash on hand,
unemployment rate will rise, expenditure and housing market will collapse.
Then more banks US are certainly going to recession.
Under these situations and over debt of US,
I doubt why US dollar does not have a great drop in value,
it keeps stable instead. Someone says there is a reason behind of it.

Fortunately, the value of US dollars is not only dependent on US economy.
USD is world trading currency and is used as a foreign reserve for many countries,
especially for China and Japan, they both keep US bonds as half of their foreign reserve.
The bond holders seem not to be willing to see their reserve dropping by a great amount
and will support US dollars to be stable by all means.

In coming future, which counties will become the most beneficial,
and can avoid serious impact leaded financial tsunami?
They are definitely China, India and Russia.
Sine they are three common properties making them to develop continuously.
Firstly, their economies are not biased on few industries,
like HK which only depends on finance and property.
They have primary, secondary and tertiary industries,
and they all contribute economic growth and productivity.
Secondly, they have rich raw material,
thus their price and supply can be maintained stable in order to support the market.
Lastly, the people there become richer, they have money to support both internal demand market.


Are the above statements relative true or just for gossips?
Originally, I want to discuss more, while I find a book, called ‘大國衰落: 美國破產前夕’,
edited by 楊衛隆, has summarized the situation and predict the future in detail.
I highly recommend you to read and decide whether to sell out of you US asset or not.

>>January 11, 2009 at 2:02:02 AM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 10 日 星期六 【晴】

<< 對話 ~ 再次聯絡上 >>
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
取至 SMS, 27-Dec-2008
『兩個月前的昨天﹐我約你到奧運打機﹐與啊生去打籃球；
今天我地約了生做相同的事﹐現在我去奧運中﹐但你應該不來吧！
我送了一份禮物給你﹐打開 msn 就會看到showhappy: 260642』

新一年﹐突然收到你的 MSN﹐
確實令我有點失措﹐
因為本來﹐我預計﹐你會在看到我送給你的禮物﹐這個『日記』後﹐
會與我永遠失去聯絡。

02-Jan-2009
取至 MSN,
『IHI~~我想問wargame會去邊度玩呀...』
『你想問cherry 定係我 ar ？驚你send 錯tim...』
『你呀...』

06-Jan-2009
取至MSN,
『提一提你如果有時間行下街睇有冇d 得意o既手套買...
因為打wargame 果時最驚係d 手指俾打中 ok 痛...
現場應該有勞工手套given 不過可能會弄拙 & 屈宊...』
:
:
『不過好似係玩左少我怕唔夠皮...』
『cherry 都話你太lady 驚玩辛苦... 放心... 你唔冼怕... 第一次玩一定係玩得唔夠皮...』
:
:
取至 SMS, 07-Jan-2009
『媽媽手術成功﹐手術雖然比預期時間用多一小時﹐但滿意！
手術後陪媽媽麻醉散醒來﹐ 我們才由浸會回來﹐一切順利！』
『太好啦！咁你就可以放心啦^^』

几日之後﹐

08-Jan-2009
下午六時十五分﹐趕回家的途中﹐突然收到你的電話﹐
問一些關於 War Games 的問題。
一路上十分驚喜﹐因為你竟然打電話過來﹐
一路上也十分著急﹐因為我趕著回家食飯﹐再拿湯給仍在浸會休養的媽媽。
從電話內容中﹐知道你打電話來的用意不是問問題﹐而是其他﹐
可惜﹐我當時摸不著頭腦﹐你的用意是？

10-Jan-2009
取至 MSN
『penny, 我前幾日睇左你寫俾我既blog,
我唔知原來你做暗地裡做左咁多野係想去了解我多d,
一方面really好感動, 另一方面覺得自己好衰, 好似hurt到你, sorry ar..』

『There is no need to sorry at all. I am fine, and not hurt now. I just want to show
and share myfeelings to you once we meet. What I did is really willing to understand you more,
vice versa.
It fortunately makes you touching. In this story, it seems to be open mysteriously,
while it may reach at peak and trough suddenly and displeasely.
However, I do not think it comes an end.

Let us continue the story from today, whenever, the story may end at happiness with all sides,
or ease at sadness by anyone, at least we enroll in it and never regret.
We could treat each other as noraml as before, like talking with msn, phone or other else,
someting dating alone or with friends to somewhere with fun, etc.
Without pressure and burdern, but just with fun, happiness and care. 』

答案似是有了。
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

這個故事﹐能弦續下去嗎？
不知道﹐因為現在也停頓。

如果你再次遊覽這裡﹐
想一齊參與寫這日記嗎？

做這些事﹐都是為『相處』﹑『了解』多一點然而。

>>January 10, 2011 at 12:26:11 AM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 10 日 星期六 【晴】

<< 手敏感 >>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
『好討厭呀 >.< 』
『返工﹐返得隻手﹐手敏感 ~~ 』

『好悽呀...你有看醫生嗎？』

『有呀~~!! 剛剛才看完醫生 ~~ 要 500 元 >.< 』
『不知道公司有沒有保償呢？』
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

老實說﹐我這刻很心痛。
因為我知道你最愛護自己的一雙手﹐
竟然因為工作﹐令到手敏感﹐
你一定好不高興。

如果我有能力﹐我一定會令你生活開樂好過的。

>>January 9, 2011 at 11:32:56 PM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 10 日 星期六 【晴】

媽媽已經從醫院回來家中休養

情況良好吧

:
:
:

現在希望我的運氣快點回來

讓我可以找到一生中最愛的工作

>>January 10, 2009 at 6:23:29 PM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 9 日 星期五 【晴】

如果只是因為要完成一份功課﹐才有聯絡。
這種聯絡﹐這種關係不要也罷？
關係不再平衡﹐傾向了其中一方﹐不會有好的發展。

但﹐事實真是如我所想嗎？
或是有其他原因。

也許這是我們的相處模式﹐你問我答；我問你不答。

這總算是有講有笑﹐但結果是含糊的。

1/8/2009
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2/8/2009
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3/8/2009
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Penny *help kiko．娜@~~(8)- limit 几多字ar 衰人
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6/8/2009
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果個女仔俾我朋友鬧左2, 3 句就自己楂車走左... 你d 女仔真係恐怖
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1. 打150 個電話俾人
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*help kiko．娜@~~(8)- Penny haha

>>January 10, 2011 at 12:18:44 AM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 7 日 星期三 【晴】

媽媽手術成功﹐手術雖然比預期時間用多一小時﹐但滿意！

手術後陪媽媽麻醉散醒後﹐我們才由浸會回來﹐一切順利！

>>January 7, 2009 at 10:55:20 PM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 6 日 星期二 【晴】

明天媽媽入院做個小手術

請天父保佑媽媽平安順利

>>January 6, 2009 at 7:21:48 PM GMT+8

2009 年 1 月 1 日 星期四 【晴】

08 年我真的命犯衰星﹐做什麼都不利。

09 年我要改命ar ~~ !!! 轉好運 ar ~~ !!!

>>January 1, 2009 at 2:45:05 AM GMT+8

2008 年 12 月 29 日 星期一 【晴】

黑完未ar ？

再係咁黑仔﹐我諗除左買定份保險﹐
跟住去自殺之外﹐都應該無嘢可以做 ~~ !!!

有一間大公司﹐
明明星期六叫我星期一or二去interivew﹐
我諗住準備多d ﹐話星期二去。

點知今日打電話去confirm﹐
佢話老細今朝in左一個人﹐覺得佢ok﹐已經請左。

天ar...
你係唔係要玩死我ar？

俾完一個希望我﹐
又轉頭拎番走。

上次見份工又係咁﹐
分分上午叫我聽天去見老細﹐
點知﹐下午話﹐個老細已經飛去﹐
要再安排時間。

唔玩啦...
個天﹐求求你唔好再同我玩遊戲啦...
我個心真係頂唔順嫁啦 ~~ !!!

>>December 29, 2008 at 4:17:24 PM GMT+8

2008 年 12 月 29 日 星期一 【晴】

<< 我猜我猜我猜猜猜 >>
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
一個台灣連續做了十年的娛樂綜藝節目﹐『我猜我猜我猜猜猜』﹐
走紅了整個台灣綜藝界﹐令不少明星走紅出來。
雖然十年來﹐節目風格﹑主持﹑環節等都改革了不少﹐
但其中一個環節郤保留至今。

可所謂﹐『人不可以貌相﹐海水不可以斗量』

>>December 29, 2008 at 1:28:58 AM GMT+8